Why Tellurium Could Be the Ultimate Key to Next-Gen Solar Panels

Tellurium’s Bright Future in Solar Energy

Tellurium, one of the Earth’s rarest elements, is emerging as a transformative force in the clean energy revolution. As a critical component in cadmium telluride (CdTe) solar panels, this silvery-white metalloid is enabling advancements in efficiency, affordability, and scalability that are essential to meeting the world’s renewable energy goals. Its unique properties as a semiconductor give CdTe solar panels a competitive edge over traditional silicon-based technologies, making tellurium a linchpin in the future of solar innovation.

The Case for Tellurium in Solar Panels

Solar energy is central to the global push for decarbonization, and tellurium is becoming increasingly important to this effort. CdTe solar panels outperform silicon panels in efficiency, cost, and adaptability. They maintain consistent performance in high-temperature and low-light environments and require less energy to produce, contributing to a shorter energy payback time.

Tellurium’s role in CdTe panels is irreplaceable. When combined with cadmium, it forms a highly efficient semiconductor layer capable of capturing a broad spectrum of light, enabling superior energy conversion. With the global solar energy market projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 7% through 2030, demand for tellurium is poised to increase significantly.

Challenges to Overcome

Despite its potential, tellurium faces several challenges that could impact its widespread adoption in solar energy.

  1. Rarity and Supply Chain Constraints:
    Tellurium is one of the rarest elements in the Earth’s crust, occurring at approximately 1 part per billion. It is primarily obtained as a byproduct of copper and gold mining, making its availability contingent on the production of these metals. Global tellurium production is estimated at only 500 metric tons annually, with China dominating refining capacity. This concentration of production creates geopolitical risks and supply chain vulnerabilities.
  2. Environmental Concerns:
    Mining tellurium involves complex refining processes that can generate significant waste and pollution. With growing scrutiny of mining practices, companies are under pressure to adopt more sustainable methods. Investment in cleaner technologies and recycling will be crucial for mitigating environmental impacts.
  3. Market Volatility:
    The tellurium market is relatively small, making it susceptible to price fluctuations. Changes in copper production or shifts in solar technology preferences could create instability, complicating long-term planning for both manufacturers and investors.

Tellurium

Production volume of tellurium worldwide in 2022, by country

The Role of Recycling

Recycling offers a partial solution to tellurium’s supply constraints. CdTe panels have a lifespan of 25-30 years, and as older panels are retired, recycling programs can recover tellurium for reuse. Companies like First Solar are leading the way, with initiatives capable of recovering up to 95% of materials from decommissioned panels. While recycling alone won’t meet growing demand, it will play an important role in creating a circular economy for tellurium.

Supply and Demand for Tellurium

The growing adoption of cadmium telluride (CdTe) solar panels is fueling demand for tellurium, but its limited supply poses significant challenges. Tellurium, one of Earth’s rarest elements, is primarily obtained as a byproduct of copper mining. With global production at just 500 metric tons annually, its availability is tied to copper output, making the supply inherently variable.

China dominates tellurium refining, creating vulnerabilities in the global supply chain. Geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions could disrupt availability, leading countries like Canada, Peru, and the U.S. to prioritize domestic mining and refining efforts. Demand, meanwhile, is projected to exceed 1,200 metric tons annually by 2030, driven by the renewable energy sector’s rapid expansion.

Recycling offers a partial solution. As CdTe panels reach the end of their 25–30-year lifespan, programs like First Solar’s material recovery initiatives can reclaim up to 95% of tellurium from decommissioned panels. However, recycling alone cannot meet growing demand.

With tellurium demand outpacing supply, investments in mining, refining, and recycling are crucial. By diversifying sources and improving recovery processes, stakeholders can help ensure this critical mineral supports the renewable energy transition while mitigating supply risks.

Tellurium

Looking to the Future

Advancements in technology and supply chain strategies are likely to shape the future of tellurium. Researchers are working to optimize the use of tellurium in CdTe panels, reducing the amount needed without compromising performance. Hybrid technologies that combine CdTe with materials like perovskites are also on the horizon, offering the potential for even greater efficiency.

Additionally, governments are recognizing tellurium’s strategic importance. In the U.S., tellurium is designated as a critical mineral, with policies in place to incentivize domestic production and support sustainable mining practices. These measures aim to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains and bolster the resilience of the renewable energy sector.

The Broader Role of Tellurium

While its primary use is in solar panels, tellurium’s applications extend beyond renewable energy. It is used in thermoelectric devices that convert waste heat into electricity and in metal alloys to enhance strength and durability. These secondary markets, though smaller, add to the overall demand for this rare element.

Tellurium’s unique properties and critical role in CdTe solar panels position it as a cornerstone of the global energy transition. Despite challenges related to supply, environmental impact, and market volatility, ongoing investments in mining, recycling, and technological innovation are paving the way for its broader adoption.

For investors, tellurium represents a rare opportunity to be at the forefront of a rapidly evolving market. Whether through direct investments in mining operations, partnerships with solar manufacturers, or support for recycling technologies, there are multiple ways to capitalize on its growing importance.

As the renewable energy revolution accelerates, tellurium’s contributions to efficient, cost-effective solar solutions will make it indispensable. By addressing supply challenges and supporting sustainable practices, the industry can ensure that tellurium continues to drive innovation in the clean energy future.